Růst cen kávy v roce 2025: Příčiny a dopady na české spotřebitele

Coffee price increase in 2025: Causes and impacts on Czech consumers

Feb 25, 2025Ilona Al Saleh

In recent months, we have witnessed a significant increase in coffee prices on world markets. The price of Arabica coffee has reached an all-time high, surpassing $3.89 per pound ($8.58 per kg) for the first time, representing an increase of more than 40% in the last three months and 79% year-on-year. The dramatic increase is the result of several concurrent factors affecting both coffee production and distribution.

Reasons for the rise in green coffee prices

Problems in Brazil, the world's largest coffee producer: Brazil, which produces about 40% of the world's coffee, is struggling with extreme weather. First came a historic drought that significantly reduced yields, and then frosts that damaged large areas of coffee trees. This means that the country will be able to supply less coffee to the market, which increases the price of the raw material.

Long-term market deficit: Another factor is the increase in transportation and logistics costs. Fuel prices have risen, shipping is facing delays and a shortage of containers, further complicating the distribution of coffee around the world. Added to this is the weakening of the currencies of some producing countries, which is making exports more expensive. It is estimated that in the 2025-26 season, the global coffee deficit will reach 8.5 million bags, which is the fifth consecutive year that demand has exceeded supply.

Economic and logistical challenges: Reduced water levels in the Panama Canal and other logistical challenges complicate the transportation of coffee from producers to distributors, leading to further increases in costs.

Impact on final consumers

The increased cost of raw coffee is expected to be reflected in prices for end consumers. Espresso prices in cafes could increase by 2 to 3 crowns, while packaged coffee prices in retail are expected to increase by 15-20%.

Some are considering adjusting prices for end customers, others are looking for ways to reduce operating costs or offer alternative products. It is expected that the price of a cup of espresso could increase by several crowns, which may affect consumer habits.

Outlook for the future

With ongoing climate change and growing demand, coffee prices are likely to remain volatile. For consumers, this means preparing for possible further price increases, and for producers and distributors, finding innovative solutions to overcome these challenges.

At La Boheme Cafe, we stand firm in our commitment to offering our customers the highest quality coffee beans, despite the challenges posed by the current coffee market. To maintain this quality, we work closely with farmers, seek sustainable sources and optimize the entire process from purchasing to roasting. Thanks to our long-standing relationships and direct contact with farmers, we can continue to offer our customers quality beans. At the same time, we strive to minimize the impact of rising prices on our customers and bring fair prices without compromising on taste and origin.

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